Business Standard & CNBC Indianomics: India’s policy mix needs a rethink
(This article appeared on 27th May 2026 in the Business Standard, link: https://www.business-standard.com/opinion/columns/india-s-policy-mix-needs-a-rethink-on-capital-flows-and-rupee-stability-126052601924_1.html - summarizing my views expressed on this CNBC Indianomics show hosted by Latha Vankatesh: https://youtu.be/E5U8F-kA17s?si=ucrLbGDz277Yhq_a ) One root cause of rupee weakness is distortions that deter capital flows Recent movements in the rupee warrant attention, but not overreaction. Even after the sharp rise in energy prices, economists expect India’s current account deficit in FY27 to settle at around 2-2.5 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP). This is manageable by historical standards. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) also holds foreign exchange reserves of around $580 billion net of forward foreign currency sales. However, there are important policy takeaways. India needs sustained net foreign capital inflows, which ultimately require growth and inno...